Respondent
Theme
International аnticrisis strategies for development of social and economic systems under conditions of global competitive environment.
Defence Date
Annotation
Thesis for the degree of Ph.D. in Economics, specialty 08.00.02 – world economy
and international economic relations. – Ivan Franko Lviv National University, Ministry of
Education and Science of Ukraine, Lviv City, 2016.
The present paper is dedicated to theoretical generalization of improvement of anti-
crisis management of social and economic systems under conditions of global competitive
environment. This will provide us with the opportunity to avoid crisis developments in
Ukrainian economy in the future. Also it will facilitate social and economic development
of the country and its integration into European economic space. Having taken into
account the influence of globalization on competitive relations it has been proved that
crisis developments in social and economic systems should be considered in the light of
“quasi-crisis pressure” which is about existence under conditions of global competitive
threat environment of the resources in use outflow into the other social and economic
systems or freezing of new resources in-flow. This has made it possible to complement the
classification of crisis development factors with a new feature: resource type which
outflow threat is increasing under globalization conditions; in contrast to present
approaches, having taken into account the resource aspect of crisis phenomenon, this will
provide us with an opportunity of comprehensive account of global competitive
environment influence on performance and development of social and economic systems
under globalization conditions.
Special considerations relating to global competitive environment at the present
stage of the world economy development have been analyzed, world experience in
development and realization of anti-crisis strategies has been classified, peculiarities of
influence of cyclic development factors of world social and economic processes on the
development of national economies in the XXI century have been studied. The conducted
analysis of social and economic processes within the world economy has allowed
establishing of the hypothesis on termination of the Kondratiev cycle ascending wave in
2005-2008.
On the basis of the world experience regarding prevention of anti-crisis phenomena
and their consequences neutralization, anti-crisis measures have been classifies within two
strategies: 1) decrease of quasi-crisis pressure on national manufacturers due to limitation
of competition on the part of the country; 2) increase of resources volume received by
national manufacturers from the state beyond the market mechanism. Under present
conditions the second strategy is spread more and is more effective.
The conducted analysis of main negative influence of the world competitive
environment on the economy of Ukraine has allowed us to admit that the determinant of
national economy vulnerability under globalization is lack in technology, that enhances 20
Ukrainian economic sensitivity to threats from the world environment (high speculative
capital at the financial market, dependence on import of energy carriers, etc.). This gives
an opportunity to prove the necessity of modernization and industrialization within anti-
crisis strategy of Ukraine, that contributes to integration of the state economy into the
European market.
On the basis of the open triple-sector economic model (material sector, sector of
production of fixed assets, consumer sector), using maximum of discounted specific
consumption as an optimization criteria, and requirements to following material and
resource, technological and consumption security of the country as limitation condition,
optimal allocation of investment and labor resources among the sectors has been assessed.
Also it has been established that if the actual resource allocation meets the optimal one (it
is typical for economy of Ukraine), then the anti-crisis strategy includes two stages. Stage
1 involves accelerated industrial growth in economy due to an engineering sector. It starts
with three control actions: maximum volume of investment resources is given to the
engineering industry, minimum investment resources volume required for material,
resource and consumption security of the country is given to material and consumer
sectors. Conditions for labor force transfer by means of creation of new high-paid work
places are established.
Stage 2 – slow industrial growth – involves increase of capital-labor ratio in the
consumer sector, the increase rates of the capital-labor ratio of the capital-labor supply
sector decrease, and the index slowly grows to the optimum value.
Estimated period of the accelerated industrial growth is 5 years; within this period
capital-labor ratio of the engineering sector should increase by a factor of 2.5, 108
thousand UAH per one employee. For this purpose, engineering in-flow of 69% from all
investment resources supply into economy should be provided. At the next stage
(15 years) capital-labor ratio sector regarding production of fixed assets should increase by
a factor of 2. Due to technological modernization in engineering and on the basis of
domestic production, increase of corresponding values in material and consumer sectors
will take place. Strategy realization will give us opportunity to achieve a series of
macroeconomic effects, in particular, increase labor productivity and ensure effective
resistance to the world challenges at all stages of competitive relations.
Key words: anti-crisis strategy, crisis, social and economic development, global
competitive environment.