Respondent
Theme
Economic mechanism of inflation targeting in Ukraine.
Defence Date
Annotation
The thesis for a Candidate Degree in Economic Sciences. Speciality 08.00.08 –
Money, Finance and Credit. – Ivan Franko National University of Lviv. – Lviv, 2016.
The thesis investigated the peculiarities of inflation targeting regime, as well as the
operational mechanism of monetary policy of central banks which implemented inflation
targeting.
Own definition of the concept of «economic mechanism of inflation targeting» was
offered and a structural model of the economic mechanism of IT which provides allocation
of five subsystems was developed. They are: 1) functional support; 2) accountability; 3)
information support; 4) forecasting and modelling; 5) legal support.
The conditions necessary for the effective implementation of inflation targeting
were examined. The features of Ukraine’s transition to the new monetary regime were
clarified. It was determined that operating procedures of inflation targeting are realized by
means of active and passive approaches. Monetary instruments within each approach were
analysed in detail. In particular, it was investigated that passive approach includes three
elements: a narrow interest rate corridor, irregular open market operations and the reserve
requirement ratios; active approach includes: a wide interest rate corridor; regular open
market operations and minimal use of the reserve requirement ratios.
Two main stages of the introduction of inflation targeting in Ukraine were
identified. Preparatory (2002 – 2010): the creation of appropriate preconditions for
introduction of IT regime, which was ended with the introduction of inflation targeting in
July 2010 by making appropriate changes to the Law of Ukraine «About the National
Bank of Ukraine»; stage of adaptation of IT regime (2011 – present), within which the
period of the positive results received from implementation of inflation targeting (2011 –
2013) and the crisis period (2014 – present), which is characterized by a significant
deterioration of the economic situation in Ukraine and the inability of the National Bank
with the new monetary regime to ensure price stability in the conditions of
macroeconomic instability, were singled out. Results of the implementation of the
monetary regime that is based on the price stability in Ukraine for the period of 2011 –
I quarter of 2015 were analysed.
The specifics of the economic mechanism of inflation targeting in developed
countries and in developing countries was considered. Economic mechanism of inflation
targeting in Ukraine was described, its main features were highlighted. The optimum level
of inflation for Ukraine in medium-term prospect was determined. Functional dependence
of a consumer price index on a number of macroeconomic indicators was investigated.
The legal framework of implementation of national monetary policy in the context of the
transition to the new monetary regime was analysed. Recommendations for improvement
of the effectiveness of monetary regulation in the conditions of application of the regime,
which is based on price stability, were offered.
Keywords: monetary policy, central bank, inflation, inflation targeting, price
stability, economic mechanism of inflation targeting.